If you think that Trump doesn’t deserved to be impeached, barred from holding office ever again, and charged with – bare minimum – inciting domestic terrorism, I have a number for you: 6,200. That’s roughly the number of nuclear missiles Trump has access to launch pretty much whenever he damn well decides he wants to.
And, as a reminder in case you’re feeling particularly empathetic today: this is the man who incited a lynch-mob style group of extremist supporters to storm the Capitol and basically attempt to lay siege on our government. The government that he’s a part of.
If that doesn’t scream incapable of holding office because, I dunno, he’s just unhinged as hell, I don’t know what does. Oh, right, and he’s planning on running again in 2024 (yeah, already.) So…
Personally, I wouldn’t take the chance since he was so willing to put American citizens he swore to protect – and his most avid supporters, no less – in danger. Four died and 56 police officers were injured, with one officer having died from his injuries this morning.
But what are the chances of Trump losing power early through impeachment or the 25th amendment?
Will Pence Evoke The 25th?
Only Pence can decide if he’s going to evoke the 25th amendment, and only the Republican Cabinet can decide if they’ll let him follow-through on it. If you’re not familiar, the 25th amendment provides a protocol for how the vice president can assume power in case the president is in some way incapacitated.
Pence wouldn’t need Trump’s approval on the 25th amendment. He would simply need to produce a letter co-signed by a majority of Trump’s 15 cabinet secretaries stating “that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office,” and deliver it to the speaker of the House and the Senate majority leader.
At the moment, Adam Kinzinger R-I11, is the first Republican to publicly call for evoking the 25th amendment. Which means we’d need to see at least seven more Republicans jump on his side to follow through on this.
The overwhelming majority of the Democratic party is openly ready to act and House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi – who was targeted pretty hard yesterday, said that many Republicans within the cabinet are also ready to act, but few of them are as open about it as Kinzinger.
Pelosi said she’s prepared to impeach Trump again – and so is her cabinet. “If the vice president and Cabinet do not act, the Congress may be prepared to move forward with impeachment,” Pelosi said. “If he wants to be unique and be doubly impeached, that’s kind of up to him and his Cabinet as to whether he should stay in office.”
She called him “a very dangerous person who should not continue in office.” “This is urgent,” she added. “This is emergency of the highest magnitude.” And most of the American people – and a large part of news from around the world – agree with her on this point.
However, Pelosi said she tried to contact Pence to ask him about what he plans to do and was placed on hold for 25 minutes before she was told Pence would not come to the phone. And maybe he’s having a mental breakdown of his own, realizing he hitched his proverbial wagon to a sociopathic horse.
And although he’s strayed twice from his President’s wishes in the last 24 hours, there’s serious doubt that he’ll do so now. Even though it’ll likely be the only chance he has at being President. Like. Ever after this circus.
Will Trump Get Impeached A Second Time?
A president facing two impeachments in his entire presidency – never mind a second one in under two years – is unheard of. But Pelosi promises that if Pence doesn’t act soon, the Congress will. And, indeed, quite a few people agree on this.
Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., were the first to publicly call for Trump’s impeachment for his “open sedition.” And every hour the list of people who want him out seems to be growing, at last count, we’re at over 36 lawmakers who want Trump gone.
However promising those numbers look, impeachment is still unlikely. But, then again, that’s what we initially thought about his election in the first place being tampered with, and with a mob of people successfully storming the Capitol, and about him being president at all. So, who know anything anymore?
What Could We Expect To See If He Does Though?
There are a few things that make this potential impeachment the most interesting of all the impeachments ever. Namely, that no real investigation needs to be done. No one seems to doubt what happened or what he did.
And with there being such a vast and diverse record of Trump being unable to stop himself from speaking (or posting on social media)… there’s a lot of proof that he did what we all saw he did. So, the first stop to indictment of impeachment would basically be presenting what happened. Though Republicans may push back on investigation to extend the timeline.
This step alone takes, on average, 122 days. And we only have 13 days left in his presidency. So, even if the indictment process were to start, say, yesterday, we’d need to see our government put aside their party lines and come together in a show of kumbaya-like unity for the sake of the American public to see Trump removed from office by impeachment at this point.
… And the thought of that would be downright laughable if that wasn’t supposed to be how governments, you know, work.
However, providing Trump isn’t pardoned, he could be tried in criminal court or his impeachment could continue after he’s already handed power over to Biden. Providing that goes as smoothly as Trump promises it will. Which is unlikely.
And we all thought “that guy” was just an idiot. But, as it turns out, he’s a dangerously unhinged idiot in charge of our 6,200 nukes until Jan 20th.